SemiSwing Daily Portfolio Desk
Daily Trade Ticket — 2026-10-15
Tax-Advantaged Retirement Portfolio ($1M Normalized) • Snapshot Synced: 2026-10-17 • VIX 16.5
DEFENSIVE (Hold Core / Cash)
Total Portfolio
$1,000,000.04
Settled Cash Now
$69,311.00
Cash + Rotation
$79,170.48
Step 1: What to Do With Your Current Holdings (13 Positions)
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation (401k lot @ $217.90 [-1.7%] + Cash Bal lot @ $107.16 [+99.8%])
946.642 sh @ $214.13 (Avg Cost $162.53) • $202,704.45 (20.3% of portfolio) • $+48,846.73 (+31.8%)
HOLD (PROTECT PROFIT)
Protect Stop: $187.08  |  Next Target (TP): $229.16  |  RS Rank: 42th pct  |  Earnings: in 24 trading days
Active AI/Semi leader (+31.8%, +2.86R vs avg cost $162.53). Keep protective Chandelier stop at $187.08; next upside target $229.16. (Core AI accelerator leader; 401K lot near cost basis ($217.90), Cash Balance lot up +99.83%)
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF
1196.67 sh @ $118.83 (Avg Cost $99.97) • $142,200.41 (14.2% of portfolio) • $+22,569.21 (+18.9%)
HOLD CORE
Long-term secular bull intact (SMH $539.79 > EMA200 $515.61; tactical pullback below EMA100 $566.14). Keep core 1196.67 sh (+18.9%). Unleveraged IT / AI sector core ETF (+18.86%)
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
475.56 sh @ $292.26 (Avg Cost $266.97) • $138,987.17 (13.9% of portfolio) • $+12,026.92 (+9.5%)
HOLD CORE (INDEX)
Broad unleveraged index core (+9.5%). Keep as long-term portfolio anchor (or optional rebalance source into SMH / AI Swing sleeve).
META Meta Platforms Inc Class A
166.06 sh @ $709.33 (Avg Cost $322.63) • $117,790.51 (11.8% of portfolio) • $+64,214.57 (+119.9%)
HOLD (EARNINGS WATCH)
Protect Stop: $599.11  |  Next Target (TP): $770.55  |  RS Rank: 86th pct  |  Earnings: in 4 trading days
Active AI/Semi leader (+119.9%, +7.99R vs avg cost $322.63). Keep protective Chandelier stop at $599.11; next upside target $770.55. [Upcoming Earnings [E]: keep Chandelier stop at $599.11 and consider trimming 25% (~41.52 sh = ~$29,451) into pre-earnings strength toward $770.55]
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
133.971 sh @ $701.61 (Avg Cost $660.31) • $93,995.39 (9.4% of portfolio) • $+5,533.00 (+6.2%)
HOLD CORE (INDEX)
Broad unleveraged index core (+6.2%). Keep as long-term portfolio anchor (or optional rebalance source into SMH / AI Swing sleeve).
AAPL Apple Inc
251.14 sh @ $343.46 (Avg Cost $146.11) • $86,256.54 (8.6% of portfolio) • $+49,562.47 (+135.1%)
HOLD (PROTECT PROFIT)
Protect Stop: $313.55  |  Next Target (TP): $360.08  |  RS Rank: 56th pct
Active AI/Semi leader (+135.1%, +9.90R vs avg cost $146.11). Keep protective Chandelier stop at $313.55; next upside target $360.08. (Long-term AI consumer hardware leader (+135.07%))
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF (401k lot @ $406.12 [+32.9%] + Cash Bal lot @ $601.08 [-10.2%])
135.524 sh @ $539.79 (Avg Cost $462.30) • $73,154.50 (7.3% of portfolio) • $+10,501.75 (+16.8%)
HOLD CORE
Long-term secular bull intact (SMH $539.79 > EMA200 $515.61; tactical pullback below EMA100 $566.14). Keep core 135.524 sh (+16.8%). Primary SemiSwing secular bull core ETF (+16.76% blended)
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg Co
95.623 sh @ $412.61 (Avg Cost $122.99) • $39,455.01 (4.0% of portfolio) • $+27,694.34 (+235.5%)
HOLD (EARNINGS WATCH)
Protect Stop: $357.15  |  Next Target (TP): $443.42  |  RS Rank: 38th pct  |  Earnings: in 0 trading days
Active AI/Semi leader (+235.5%, +15.70R vs avg cost $122.99). Keep protective Chandelier stop at $357.15; next upside target $443.42. [Upcoming Earnings [E]: keep Chandelier stop at $357.15 and consider trimming 25% (~23.91 sh = ~$9,866) into pre-earnings strength toward $443.42]
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
47.691 sh @ $529.05 (Avg Cost $407.97) • $25,230.92 (2.5% of portfolio) • $+5,774.42 (+29.7%)
HOLD (EARNINGS WATCH)
Protect Stop: $477.57  |  Next Target (TP): $557.65  |  RS Rank: 92th pct  |  Earnings: in 9 trading days
Active AI/Semi leader (+29.7%, +3.53R vs avg cost $407.97). Keep protective Chandelier stop at $477.57; next upside target $557.65. [Upcoming Earnings [E]: keep Chandelier stop at $477.57 and consider trimming 25% (~11.92 sh = ~$6,306) into pre-earnings strength toward $557.65]
SNXX Tradr 2X Long SNDK Daily Leveraged ETF
519.427 sh @ $9.11 (Avg Cost $20.67) • $4,731.98 (0.5% of portfolio) • $-6,004.58 (-55.9%)
SELL / ROTATE
Order Action: SELL 519.427 shares (~$4,731.98 proceeds added to buying power)
Tradr 2X Long SNDK Daily Leveraged ETF (-55.9%). Excluded by SemiSwing unleveraged charter due to daily-reset volatility decay / non-core drag; tax-free rotation frees $4,731.98 for SMH Core / AI Swing setups.
SPCX SPAC and New Issue ETF
30.693 sh @ $146.03 (Avg Cost $193.54) • $4,482.10 (0.5% of portfolio) • $-1,458.22 (-24.6%)
SELL / ROTATE
Order Action: SELL 30.693 shares (~$4,482.10 proceeds added to buying power)
SPAC and New Issue ETF (-24.6%). Excluded by SemiSwing unleveraged charter due to daily-reset volatility decay / non-core drag; tax-free rotation frees $4,482.10 for SMH Core / AI Swing setups.
SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
30.703 sh @ $34.35 (Avg Cost $31.72) • $1,054.65 (0.1% of portfolio) • $+80.75 (+8.3%)
HOLD CORE (INDEX)
Broad unleveraged index core (+8.3%). Keep as long-term portfolio anchor (or optional rebalance source into SMH / AI Swing sleeve).
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ 3x Leveraged ETF
9.462 sh @ $68.21 (Avg Cost $77.02) • $645.40 (0.1% of portfolio) • $-83.36 (-11.4%)
SELL / ROTATE
Order Action: SELL 9.462 shares (~$645.40 proceeds added to buying power)
ProShares UltraPro QQQ 3x Leveraged ETF (-11.4%). Excluded by SemiSwing unleveraged charter due to daily-reset volatility decay / non-core drag; tax-free rotation frees $645.40 for SMH Core / AI Swing setups.
Step 2: What to Buy (Exact $ Trade Tickets)
Option A — Immediate Core Semiconductor ETF Allocation (Money Market / SGOV (3M T-Bill Cash @ 4.10% APY, or Scale into SMH/Top Stock-Ready Leaders))
While waiting for individual stocks to dip back inside their volatility band, keep unallocated cash working in your unleveraged core ETF (Money Market / SGOV (3M T-Bill Cash @ 4.10% APY, or Scale into SMH/Top Stock-Ready Leaders) @ $539.79):
Using Settled Cash Only
BUY $69,311.00 of Money Market / SGOV (3M T-Bill Cash @ 4.10% APY, or Scale into SMH/Top Stock-Ready Leaders)
~128.404 shares @ $539.79
With ETF Rotation (SNXX / SPCX / TQQQ)
BUY $79,170.48 of Money Market / SGOV (3M T-Bill Cash @ 4.10% APY, or Scale into SMH/Top Stock-Ready Leaders)
~146.669 shares @ $539.79
Option B — Top 4 New AI & Semiconductor Trade Tickets (Pre-Sized in $)
Pick 2 to 3 tickets below (sized from your deployable cash pool while capping single-trade risk):
#1 ADI Last Close: $403.95 PRE-SIZED TICKET #1 (Tier HIGH)
Order (Using Settled Cash: $69,311)
BUY $34,655.50
~85.792 shares @ $403.95 (Max Risk: -$3,020)
Order (With ETF Rotation: $79,170)
BUY $39,585.24
~97.995 shares @ $403.95 (Max Risk: -$3,449)
Hard Stop-Loss
$368.75 (-8.7%)
Profit Target (TP1)
$468.49 (+16.0%)
ML Score & RS
48.2% (RS 94th)
Entry Condition: PASSES ALL STOCK GATES (Waiting only on SMH regime_on)  |  Max Hold: 25 trading days  |  Earnings: 29d
Top Model Drivers (SHAP): skew_idx=2.49 (+0.096) | vix_ts=0.89 (+0.047) | vxn_squeeze_vel=0.34 (+0.025) | sector_rs=-0.02 (-0.015) | slope_accel=-0.45 (+0.013)
#2 TXN Last Close: $279.12 PRE-SIZED TICKET #2 (Tier HIGH)
Order (Using Settled Cash: $69,311)
BUY $34,655.50
~124.160 shares @ $279.12 (Max Risk: -$3,125)
Order (With ETF Rotation: $79,170)
BUY $39,585.24
~141.822 shares @ $279.12 (Max Risk: -$3,570)
Hard Stop-Loss
$253.95 (-9.0%)
Profit Target (TP1)
$325.26 (+16.5%)
ML Score & RS
47.7% (RS 88th)
Entry Condition: PASSES ALL STOCK GATES (Waiting only on SMH regime_on)  |  Max Hold: 25 trading days  |  Earnings: 4d
Top Model Drivers (SHAP): skew_idx=2.49 (+0.091) | vix_ts=0.89 (+0.047) | vxn_squeeze_vel=0.34 (+0.021) | sector_rs=-0.02 (-0.015) | slope_accel=-0.54 (+0.013)
#3 VST Last Close: $154.17 PRE-SIZED TICKET #3 (Tier HIGH)
Order (Using Settled Cash: $69,311)
BUY $34,655.50
~224.788 shares @ $154.17 (Max Risk: -$5,199)
Order (With ETF Rotation: $79,170)
BUY $39,585.24
~256.764 shares @ $154.17 (Max Risk: -$5,939)
Hard Stop-Loss
$131.04 (-15.0%)
Profit Target (TP1)
$196.57 (+27.5%)
ML Score & RS
47.3% (RS 84th)
Entry Condition: PASSES ALL STOCK GATES (Waiting only on SMH regime_on)  |  Max Hold: 25 trading days  |  Earnings: 16d
Top Model Drivers (SHAP): skew_idx=2.49 (+0.102) | vix_ts=0.89 (+0.042) | vxn_squeeze_vel=0.34 (+0.026) | sector_rs=-0.02 (-0.021) | vol_compress=1.64 (+0.008)
#4 SNPS Last Close: $468.11 PRE-SIZED TICKET #4 (Tier HIGH)
Order (Using Settled Cash: $69,311)
BUY $34,655.50
~74.033 shares @ $468.11 (Max Risk: -$4,081)
Order (With ETF Rotation: $79,170)
BUY $39,585.24
~84.564 shares @ $468.11 (Max Risk: -$4,661)
Hard Stop-Loss
$412.99 (-11.8%)
Profit Target (TP1)
$569.17 (+21.6%)
ML Score & RS
47.9% (RS 100th)
Entry Condition: PASSES ALL STOCK GATES (Waiting only on SMH regime_on)  |  Max Hold: 25 trading days  |  Earnings: 39d
Top Model Drivers (SHAP): vix_ts=0.89 (+0.049) | skew_idx=2.49 (+0.049) | sector_rs=-0.02 (-0.027) | rs_rank=1.00 (+0.024) | vxn_squeeze_vel=0.34 (+0.020)
SemiSwing Unleveraged AI & Semiconductor Swing System • SMH $539.79 (EMA100 $566.14 / EMA200 $515.61) • 3M T-Bill Cash Yield: 4.10% APY